Avengers Doomsday's Presale Tracking Is Reportedly 65% Ahead of Spider-Man Brand New Day

Avengers Doomsday's advance ticket sales are reportedly running far ahead of the pace set by Spider-Man: Brand New Day, according to a new report cited on the show, and that has everyone rethinking just how big this December could get.

This matters right now because Brand New Day just became the highest grossing Spider-Man movie ever, and fans want to know whether an Avengers team-up can actually top a solo Spidey outing. It also means revisiting a prediction that got a lot of attention when it was first made: my call that Avengers Doomsday would hit $3 billion at the box office. As the show put it while recapping the story, that guess is "not looking as insane as it once was."

Spider-Man: Brand New Day Just Became the Franchise's Biggest Movie Ever

The numbers were laid out from a Comic Book Movie report by Josh Wilding, who wrote that after "a disappointing 2025 that saw Captain America: Brave New World, Thunderbolts, and Fantastic Four First Steps either lose money or barely break even, this year has proven that audiences will show up for the right superhero movie." That movie, per the report, is Spider-Man: Brand New Day, described as a blockbuster that has broken countless box office records and massively exceeded expectations. This past weekend it swung past the $2 billion mark worldwide, making it the webslinger's highest grossing movie ever.

Avengers Doomsday Presales Are Outpacing Brand New Day by 65%

According to The Wrap, premium format presales for Avengers Doomsday, which started back in July, are approximately 65% ahead of the pace set by the first two days of presales for Brand New Day. That is a notable benchmark because Brand New Day itself was second only to Avengers Endgame, opening to $360 million domestically and $927 million globally. If those early numbers hold, the report suggests Doomsday could smash expectations during its opening weekend in theaters.

A Strong Opening Doesn't Guarantee a Strong Run

The report also carried a warning: it will be essential for Doomsday to be as well received as Brand New Day. If the Russo brothers deliver a letdown, the second weekend drop could be colossal, with the comparison drawn to Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice, which had a nearly 70% drop in its second weekend after a $166 million opening. Dune Part 3 is also part of the December equation, with exhibitors reportedly expecting a strong month overall if Doomsday holds up well, similar to how The Odyssey and Brand New Day ruled the summer. Per the report, "According to theatrical sources, Dune Part 3's IMAX 70 millimeter screenings are already seeing dozens of sellouts from the film's opening weekend and could see continued high demand for round-the-clock showtimes through Christmas weekend and beyond."

Mike Kalinowski Still Bets Brand New Day Wins Out

Once the numbers were on the table, co-host Mike Kalinowski said he is sticking with his own call. "I think Brand New Day will make more... that has been my kind of hill I'm going to die on," he said, adding that he doesn't think that was a crazy position given how well Brand New Day has been received. His reasoning centers on Dune, which he called Doomsday's potential "Achilles heel" because of how long it will occupy IMAX screens. As for Harloff's $3 billion figure, Kalinowski said, "I don't know where he pulled that number out of." Asked to put a percentage on whether Doomsday ultimately out-earns Brand New Day, he landed on a straightforward 50/50.

Roxy Had the Opposite Read, But Never Expected $2 Billion Either

Co-host Roxy said she always assumed Doomsday would out-earn Brand New Day, while expecting both movies to do "gang busters" business regardless. That said, she admitted she never thought Brand New Day would cross $2 billion, guessing more like $1.8 billion instead. Both hosts joked that they may be among the worst box office predictors around, with Roxy recalling her own infamous miss: she once thought Birds of Prey was going to cross a billion dollars after seeing it in theaters.

Could Doomsday Even Top Endgame?

The conversation also turned to whether Doomsday could top Endgame's numbers outright, with the hosts noting that ticket prices have climbed significantly since Endgame's 2019 release, guessing they're probably five or six dollars more expensive today, which could inflate totals regardless of attendance.

Viewers Weigh In With Their Own Numbers

During the Q&A portion, one viewer predicted Brand New Day would finish at $2.55 billion and Doomsday at $2.35 billion, a split Kalinowski said seemed fair. Another asked what percentage chance Doomsday has of reaching $3 billion outright; Kalinowski put it at around 20%, while Roxy guessed closer to 10%, with both agreeing it's less than a coin flip.

Nobody on the Show Fully Trusts Box Office Tracking Anyway

When a viewer asked how tracking this early can even be accurate, Kalinowski admitted he doesn't fully understand the process, noting that a couple of weeks before Supergirl released it was reportedly tracking at just 60 to 75 million. His best guess is that tracking is based on presales and how similarly performing movies have done in the past, though he conceded, "seems asinine," and that it's "clearly... often inaccurate."

Do you think Avengers Doomsday can actually top Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the box office, or is Dune Part 3's IMAX hold the bigger threat this December?